← cd ../strategies
plannedrisk: medium

outcome

Trade Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome (prediction) markets — positions priced 0 to 1.

commands

deliverator markets --coin "ELECTION-YES" # outcome universe + tick rules

deliverator buy "ELECTION-YES" --notional 200 --limit 0.62

deliverator close "ELECTION-YES"

Outcome markets are Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 prediction markets: each tradable leg is an outcome whose price moves in (0, 1) — a live, market-implied probability. Buy the side you think is underpriced; your position is worth 1 if it resolves true, 0 if not.

Same engine, new asset class

Deliverator’s signing is asset-agnostic, so outcome markets ride the exact machinery you already trust — EIP-712 signing, precision rounding, builder attach, the risk caps, and the idempotent retry protocol. Prices are validated to the outcome-market rules (within (0,1), capped precision) before anything is signed.

Why an agent wants this

  • A clean probability surface. An LLM can reason about “is this outcome mispriced?” far more naturally than about funding curves — the price is the probability.
  • Event-driven edges. Pair it with the loop to react to news, then express the view as a bounded position with a stop.
  • Uncorrelated exposure. Outcome legs diversify a book away from pure crypto beta.

Resolution is binary and can gap hard. Size it with the same caps as any leveraged leg, and let --dry-run + testnet prove the plan first.

Support is in progress — track it in the repo.

HUMAN MACHINE